Yes — Max Verstappen can still win the 2025 championship. After the recent dramatic shift following the Las Vegas Grand Prix, he remains in contention with two rounds of the season remaining.
Current status
Heading into the final races, there are still enough points available for Verstappen to mount a comeback. The standings show that Lando Norris leads the championship, with Oscar Piastri and Verstappen tied or very close behind. With 58 points available in the final two events, the margin is not insurmountable.
What changed in Las Vegas
Verstappen’s win in Las Vegas was key — both Norris and Piastri had their results nullified after disqualifications, which erased a portion of their lead. That shift closed the gap and reopened the title fight in Verstappen’s favour. With momentum on his side and fewer mistakes from rivals, his opportunity increased significantly.
What Verstappen needs to do
Here are the basic requirements for Verstappen:
- He must outscore Norris (and Piastri) across the remaining rounds by enough points to overtake them.
- He will likely need to win at least one of the remaining races or secure strong podium finishes.
- He must avoid mistakes and rely on his rivals making errors or finishing lower in position.
Because he is tied on points with a rival but behind on count-back (wins), simply matching their scores may not be enough. He must perform better in the final two rounds.
Is it realistic?
Yes — but it will be challenging.
- Red Bull and Verstappen have shown strong form when it counts.
- The remaining circuits (in Qatar and Abu Dhabi) will test both driver and team, and performance must hold up.
- Norris still holds the lead and will be under pressure — sometimes that leads to mistakes, but it can also bring out strong finishes.
- With 58 points still available, a 24-point gap (approximate after Las Vegas) is recoverable — but not easily so.
Key factors to watch
- How the car setup and strategy adapt to the final two race tracks.
- Any reliability or race-day mistakes from Verstappen or Red Bull.
- Whether Norris or Piastri falter or finish poorly, which would open the door further.
- The sprint formats and extra points available in final rounds — maximising every opportunity will matter.
- The count-back of wins: if two drivers finish level on points, the number of wins can decide the champion.
Bottom line
So, can Verstappen still win 2025? Yes, absolutely. The numbers support his chance, the momentum is there, and two races remain. It will require high performance, no mistakes, and some slip up from his rivals. The margin is tight, and the pressure is real.
What unfolds in those final two rounds will determine whether we witness Verstappen capture another title — or see him fall just short.
