In a dramatic turn of events on May 6, 2025, Friedrich Merz failed to secure the majority vote in the Bundestag to become Germany’s next chancellor. His bid, which once seemed promising, fell short by just six votes—an unprecedented failure in modern German parliamentary history. The outcome has sparked intense debate over his leadership style, party unity, and the future of the CDU/CSU coalition.
Table of Contents
Friedrich Merz Faces Internal Rebellion in First Vote
Friedrich Merz entered the chancellor vote confident, having led his center-right CDU/CSU bloc to victory in the February snap elections. But despite a formal coalition with the SPD, the secret Bundestag vote revealed internal dissent. Only 310 members backed Merz—six fewer than needed. The silent resistance from within his own ranks has not only embarrassed the conservative camp but has also cracked open doubts about his capacity to unite his allies under one vision.
What Happens Now? Constitutional Options and Pressure
Germany’s Basic Law allows for a second chancellor vote within 14 days. If Merz again fails to gather the absolute majority, a third round could still confirm him with a simple majority. At that point, the German president can either appoint him or dissolve the Bundestag and call fresh elections.
Here are the likely scenarios:
- Second Vote Attempt: Merz will try again with behind-the-scenes negotiations to ensure loyalty.
- Presidential Decision: If still unsuccessful, the president may be forced to choose stability over political protocol.
- New Elections: Should chaos persist, a new election cycle could be triggered—further delaying governance.
Public Perception of Friedrich Merz After the Defeat
The latest polling shows the German public divided. While Merz’s economic and conservative policies appeal to many voters, critics argue he lacks the charisma and adaptability needed to govern a complex coalition. Younger voters, in particular, view him as out of touch with modern Germany.
Concerns raised by the public and political analysts include:
- Inability to hold party discipline
- Tense relationship with coalition partners
- Lack of modern vision on climate and social reform
- Overemphasis on fiscal austerity
How the Vote Affects Germany and Europe
The failure of Friedrich Merz to take office on the first ballot sends ripples beyond Berlin. Germany, being Europe’s largest economy, is expected to maintain a strong leadership role in EU policies. The absence of a chancellor at such a critical juncture, with war at Europe’s doorstep and inflation concerns on the rise, has already shaken market confidence.
Business leaders worry that prolonged political instability could delay critical decisions on:
- EU energy independence strategy
- Industrial reforms
- Defense cooperation and NATO commitments
- Immigration and digital policy frameworks
Merz’s Next Move: Redemption or Exit?
All eyes are now on Merz’s ability to regroup and secure the necessary votes. This moment could define his political legacy. A second failed vote would cement doubts about his leadership, while a successful comeback might showcase his resilience. He must act quickly—tighten party ranks, engage undecided allies, and present a unifying agenda.
Steps Merz may take:
- One-on-one negotiations with skeptical MPs
- Concessions to coalition partners
- Public messaging to rebuild trust
- Tactical leadership changes within CDU/CSU
Let’s Summarize
Friedrich Merz has hit a political wall, one that could either end his ambitions or transform his leadership approach. Germany, meanwhile, watches closely as its political stability hangs in limbo. The next two weeks are crucial—not just for Merz, but for the country’s direction.