The excitement is back on Coney Island as Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest 2025 gears up for another unforgettable July 4 showdown. This year, the legendary Joey Chestnut returns after a surprising absence in 2024, setting the stage for a fierce face-off against defending champion Patrick Bertoletti and women’s reigning champion Miki Sudo. With betting odds released and expert predictions rolling in, fans and gamblers alike are watching closely for signs of an upset—or a record-breaking comeback.
Let’s break down the latest betting odds, expert picks, and key predictions as the countdown to the 2025 hot dog eating contest continues.
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Joey Chestnut: Odds-on Favorite to Reclaim Glory
Joey Chestnut, the 16-time champion and current world record holder with 76 hot dogs eaten in 10 minutes, is back in action. Sportsbooks have made him a massive favorite heading into the contest, with odds heavily favoring his victory. Early prop bets set the Over/Under on his final count at 71.5, a number he’s flirted with in recent years but hasn’t always surpassed.
At 41, Chestnut’s stamina and experience remain unmatched. Most experts believe that barring any unforeseen setbacks, he will likely claim his 17th Mustard Belt. However, bettors should watch his pace closely—recent contests have shown that while dominant, he’s slightly slowed with age.
Patrick Bertoletti: The Hungry Challenger
Bertoletti shocked the competitive eating world in 2024 by seizing the crown during Chestnut’s absence, consuming 58 hot dogs and buns. Now, he enters the 2025 contest with both confidence and pressure. Betting markets are offering strong value on Bertoletti for bettors looking for an upset, with odds in the +1200 to +1500 range.
One popular prop bet surrounds whether Bertoletti can eat more than 49.5 hot dogs this time around. His training has reportedly intensified, and his motivation is high. Some analysts are even tipping him to be the top finisher excluding Chestnut—a niche market drawing lots of betting action.
Read also-How to Watch 2025 Hot Dog Eating Contest on TV and Streaming
Miki Sudo: A Dominant Force in the Women’s Division
On the women’s side, Miki Sudo remains the undisputed queen of hot dog eating. With 10 titles under her belt and a record-setting 51 hot dogs last year, she enters the 2025 competition as the overwhelming favorite. Her odds are incredibly short, and her Over/Under is expected to be around 45 hot dogs.
Sudo’s combination of technique and consistency makes her a safe bet in most eyes. Experts expect another dominant performance unless an unexpected challenger emerges. Fans are also speculating whether she can break her own record in front of a roaring July 4 crowd.
Key Event Info and Broadcast Schedule
Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
Location: Coney Island, New York
Women’s Contest: 11:00 a.m. ET
Men’s Contest: 12:30 p.m. ET
Broadcast: Live on ESPN Networks
This year’s event promises a return to full-capacity crowds and national coverage, making it one of the most anticipated hot dog eating contests in recent memory.
Betting Odds Snapshot
Here’s a quick look at how the odds are shaping up:
| Competitor | To Win Odds | Over/Under Hot Dogs |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Chestnut | -1600 to -2500 | 71.5 |
| Patrick Bertoletti | +1200 to +1500 | 49.5 |
| Miki Sudo | -1800 | 44.5 to 46.5 |
These numbers are fluctuating daily, so sharp bettors are advised to lock in their picks early before lines shift.
Expert Picks and Key Predictions
- Chestnut to Win, but Under 71.5 Hot Dogs: Many believe Chestnut will clinch the title but fall short of his 2021 record-setting performance.
- Bertoletti Top Finisher Excluding Chestnut: A value bet that could pay off if he maintains his form from 2024.
- Sudo Over 46.5: With her consistent upward trajectory, Sudo may well push past last year’s total.
It’s worth noting that weather and contest pacing can influence final totals, so many gamblers are also eyeing real-time updates on contest day.
Key Takeaways
- Joey Chestnut is back, and sportsbooks believe he’s set to win again.
- Bertoletti is chasing his second straight title and poses the biggest threat.
- Miki Sudo looks untouchable as she aims for her 11th women’s crown.
- Betting markets are active, especially in prop bets and “winner without Chestnut” categories.
- ESPN will air the contest live, making it a must-watch July 4 tradition once more.
As the world gears up for fireworks, barbecues, and patriotic celebrations, the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest 2025 will steal the spotlight yet again. Whether you’re placing bets, tuning in with family, or just hoping to witness history, this year’s contest promises unforgettable moments. Will Chestnut reclaim his crown? Can Bertoletti go back-to-back? Will Sudo set a new bar?
Don’t miss the action. Grab your snacks, place your bets, and get ready to cheer.