The Old Farmer’s Almanac fall forecast is here, and it’s painting a vivid picture of what the United States can expect in autumn 2025. With the season right around the corner, the forecast suggests a significant shift from the record-breaking heat of summer, offering both relief and surprises across the country.
Key Points Summary
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┃ • Warmer-than-normal fall for most of the U.S. ┃
┃ • Northeast and Appalachians to see cooler, drier weather ┃
┃ • Reduced rainfall expected nationwide ┃
┃ • Hurricane activity remains a key concern through fall ┃
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The Old Farmer’s Almanac fall forecast predicts a mostly warmer-than-average season ahead, especially in states stretching from the West Coast to the Southeast. This follows a sweltering summer and extends the warmth into September and October, with temperatures expected to remain above seasonal averages for much of the nation.
However, not all regions will feel the same. The Northeast and Appalachian areas are forecast to experience slightly cooler and drier conditions, ideal for brilliant fall foliage. The dip in temperatures—by around 2 to 3 degrees below normal—is expected to help trigger vibrant autumn colors, with peak foliage anticipated in mid-October.
Rainfall will be scarce across much of the U.S., with the forecast indicating below-normal precipitation levels throughout fall. The lack of rain may impact agriculture and foliage in some regions, but it could also mean clearer skies and more opportunities for outdoor activities.
Some regions, like the Pacific Northwest and parts of the High Plains, may see an uptick in rainfall compared to other areas. These pockets of wet weather could benefit local crops but also raise concerns for early frost and travel delays in mountainous terrain.
Adding to the seasonal complexity, the fall forecast includes a warning about continued hurricane activity. The Atlantic hurricane season remains active until the end of November, and current atmospheric patterns suggest the potential for more named storms, especially in coastal regions along the Gulf and Eastern Seaboard. Travelers and residents are urged to remain alert during peak hurricane months.
The Almanac’s predictions are based on a proprietary blend of solar science, weather patterns, and historical data, methods that have been used for centuries. While not perfect, its long-range forecasts often serve as a trusted guide for farmers, gardeners, and everyday Americans planning around nature’s schedule.
A regional snapshot of expected conditions this fall:
- West Coast & Southwest: Extended summer warmth; continued dryness.
- Southeast & Gulf States: Warmer days and minimal rain; keep an eye on tropical systems.
- Northeast & Appalachians: Cooler, crisp mornings with striking autumn hues.
- Midwest & Great Lakes: Warmer trends linger but with increasing dryness.
- Pacific Northwest & Northern Rockies: Occasional wet spells and early chill.
For farmers, this season will be a mixed bag. Dry soil conditions may hinder late crop yields, while warmer weather may benefit some late-harvest produce. Those who rely on predictable weather for harvesting or tourism—like pumpkin patches and fall festivals—will need to adapt quickly to shifting patterns.
The fall forecast also serves as a reminder for communities to stay prepared. Whether it’s stocking up for cooler weather or preparing emergency kits in hurricane-prone regions, autumn is often a season of transition—and unpredictability.
With the release of the Old Farmer’s Almanac fall forecast, anticipation is building not only for cooler days and colorful trees but also for how weather might shape plans across the country. Will this be a season to remember for its beauty or its intensity?
Let us know in the comments how you’re preparing for fall in your region—or what changes you’ve already started noticing in your skies, leaves, or garden. Autumn 2025 may be warmer, drier, and more colorful than we expect.